Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
About this match
Downtown FC and Heaven Eleven FC meet on in LFA First Division.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
Scoreno
Statisticsno
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model sees the two sides as close.
Why it matters: A win could put Downtown FC top of the table.
Chances to win
Model estimate
36%26%38%
Downtown FC36%Draw26%Heaven Eleven FC38%
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
Downtown FC vs Heaven Eleven FC: preview
Heaven Eleven FC have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches. Heaven Eleven FC are unbeaten in 4 matches. 4 of Heaven Eleven FC's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 5.
Downtown FC are in position 15 with 0 points, Heaven Eleven FC in position 13 with 1 points. A win could lift Downtown FC as high as position 1. A win could lift Heaven Eleven FC as high as position 1.
Our pre-match model estimate: Downtown FC 36%, draw 26%, Heaven Eleven FC 38%.
Table by result
Downtown FC15
A win can take them top.
A defeat can drop them as low as 18.
Win1–6Draw7–14Loss14–18
Heaven Eleven FC13
A win takes them top.
A defeat can drop them as low as 14.
Win1Draw6Loss7–14
Some teams are level on points: goal difference decides (head-to-head in some leagues), so the order may change.
Worked out from the pre-match table and the live scores in the league.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
Preparing the simulation…
Model simulation (20,000 runs): Downtown FC win in 36% of the simulated matches, 26% end level and Heaven Eleven FC win 38%. Average goals 2.6; the most likely score is 1-1 (13%); both teams score in 52%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Downtown FC go into the game 15th on 0 points, Heaven Eleven FC 13th on 1 point. Downtown FC trail Heaven Eleven FC by 1 point. Downtown FC can climb to the top with victory. A win could take Heaven Eleven FC top of the table.
How they come into it
Over the last 5 matches, Heaven Eleven FC have collected 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat. 4 games without defeat for Heaven Eleven FC. Heaven Eleven FC average 1.2 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game over their last 10.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
