Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
About this match
BEA Mountain and Fassell FC meet on in LFA First Division.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
Scoreno
Statisticsno
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model sees the two sides as close.
Why it matters: A win could put BEA Mountain top of the table.
Chances to win
Model estimate
40%27%33%
BEA Mountain40%Draw27%Fassell FC33%
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
BEA Mountain vs Fassell FC: preview
BEA Mountain are in position 2 with 3 points, Fassell FC in position 5 with 3 points. A win could lift BEA Mountain as high as position 1. A win could lift Fassell FC as high as position 1.
Our pre-match model estimate: BEA Mountain 40%, draw 27%, Fassell FC 33%.
Table by result
BEA Mountain2
A win takes them top.
A defeat can drop them as low as 5.
Win1Draw1–2Loss2–5
Fassell FC5
A win takes them top.
Win1Draw1–2Loss2–5
Some teams are level on points: goal difference decides (head-to-head in some leagues), so the order may change.
Worked out from the pre-match table and the live scores in the league.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
Preparing the simulation…
Model simulation (20,000 runs): BEA Mountain win in 40% of the simulated matches, 27% end level and Fassell FC win 33%. Average goals 2.5; the most likely score is 1-1 (13%); both teams score in 50%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
BEA Mountain go into the game 2nd on 3 points, Fassell FC 5th on 3 points. BEA Mountain can climb to the top with victory. A win could take Fassell FC top of the table.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.