Djurgardens IF vs Orgryte IS: the story of the match
8' — Djurgardens IF took the lead: 1-0. Jeppe Okkels scored it. Half time: 1-0.
60' — Djurgardens IF extended the lead: 2-0. Bo Hegland scored it. 66' — Orgryte IS pulled one back: 2-1. William Hofvander scored it. 90' — Orgryte IS equalised: 2-2. Viktor Ekblom scored it. It came in the closing minutes. The match ended 2-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Djurgardens IFDrawOrgryte IS
Pre-match model estimate: Djurgardens IF 86%, draw 10%, Orgryte IS 4%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Djurgardens IF win in 86% of the simulated matches, 10% end level and Orgryte IS win 4%. Average goals 3.8; the most likely score is 3-0 (12%); both teams score in 45%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Djurgardens IF took the lead on 8 minutes thanks to Jeppe Okkels. It was Djurgardens IF 1-0 Orgryte IS at half-time.
Bo Hegland made it 2-0 for Djurgardens IF after 60 minutes. William Hofvander reduced the deficit for Orgryte IS to 2-1 after 66 minutes. Late on, in the 90th minute, Orgryte IS drew level at 2-2 through Viktor Ekblom.
Match statistics
The shot count read 7-1, 5-1 on target. Djurgardens IF won 3 corners, Orgryte IS 4. 5 saves came from the Orgryte IS goalkeeper. Orgryte IS produced 258 dangerous attacks to Djurgardens IF's 236.
What the result means
Djurgardens IF drop from 2nd to 3rd on 48 points. Orgryte IS stay 15th on 19 points. The result ends Djurgardens IF's run of 3 straight wins. Across 11 meetings in our records: 4 wins for Djurgardens IF and 7 draws.
Next fixtures
Next up for Djurgardens IF: away at IFK Goteborg on Wednesday 28 October. Orgryte IS' next match is at home against Mjallby AIF on 29 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
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