2' — Rodez took the lead: 0-1. Antonin Cartillier scored it. 23' — Dijon equalised: 1-1. Yanis Barka scored it. Half time: 1-1.
90' — Rodez went back in front: 1-2. Marco Essimi scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Rodez won 1-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
DijonDrawRodez
Pre-match model estimate: Dijon 48%, draw 23%, Rodez 29%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Dijon win in 48% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and Rodez win 29%. Average goals 3.1; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 61%. About 9.5 corners on average. About 3.9 yellow cards on average; a red card in 17%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Dijon – Rodez match report
Updated:
A goal in the 90th minute gave Rodez a 2-1 win against Dijon in Ligue 2. The half-time score was 1-1.
How the match unfolded
Rodez took the lead on 2 minutes thanks to Antonin Cartillier. Dijon drew level at 1-1 in the 23rd minute: Yanis Barka. The first half ended 1-1.
Rodez went 2-1 up in the 90th minute: Marco Essimi.
The statistics
Dijon had 6 shots (3 on target) to Rodez's 5 (4). Dijon won 10 corners, Rodez 3. Dijon produced 47 dangerous attacks to Rodez's 26.
What it means
Dijon stay 9th on 12 points. The result lifts Rodez to 14th with 10 points, up from 17th. Dijon have now scored in 9 consecutive matches. It is Rodez's first win against Dijon since 2022.
What’s next
Dijon visit Grenoble Foot 38 next, on 30 October in Ligue 2. Next up for Rodez: home to USL Dunkerque on Friday 30 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Ligue 2
