Defensor Sporting Club vs CA Penarol kick-off time: 15/11/2026 23:00
Uruguay
Primera Division, Clausura Round 14
Match info
Last 5 matches
More- Defensor Sporting ClubWDLLL
- CA PenarolDLDLDNo win in 5 matches
Recent meetings
More- Primera DivisionDefensor Sporting Club0 - 2CA Penarol
- Primera DivisionCA Penarol1 - 1Defensor Sporting Club
- Primera División - ClausuraCA Penarol2 - 1Defensor Sporting Club
Primera Division
More| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Deportivo Maldonado | 13 | +8 | 22 |
| 5 | CA Penarol | 13 | +8 | 22 |
| 6 | Racing Club Montevideo | 13 | +4 | 19 |
| 12 | Albion FC Montevideo | 13 | -5 | 13 |
| 13 | Defensor Sporting Club | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 14 | Danubio FC | 13 | -8 | 10 |
Line-ups
Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
Defensor Sporting Club and CA Penarol meet on in Primera Division, Clausura.
Venue: Estadio Luis Franzini.
In our records Defensor Sporting Club and CA Penarol have met 10 times: Defensor Sporting Club won 0, 1 ended level and CA Penarol won 9.
Their latest meeting (): Defensor Sporting Club 0-2 CA Penarol.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
- Scoreno
- Statisticsno
- Line-upsyes
- Pitch animationno
- Pressure datano
- Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards CA Penarol (57%).
Chances to win
Model estimate
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
Defensor Sporting Club vs CA Penarol: preview
Defensor Sporting Club have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches. 4 of Defensor Sporting Club's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 5. CA Penarol have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches. CA Penarol have not won in 5 matches. 2 of CA Penarol's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 6.
In their last 10 meetings, Defensor Sporting Club won 0, 1 ended level and CA Penarol won 9. Defensor Sporting Club are in position 13 with 12 points, CA Penarol in position 5 with 22 points. A win could lift Defensor Sporting Club as high as position 11. A win could lift CA Penarol as high as position 4.
Our pre-match model estimate: Defensor Sporting Club 20%, draw 23%, CA Penarol 57%.
Table by result
- A win can lift them as high as 11.
- A win lifts them to 4.
Some teams are level on points: goal difference decides (head-to-head in some leagues), so the order may change.
Worked out from the pre-match table and the live scores in the league.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulationsModel simulation (20,000 runs): Defensor Sporting Club win in 20% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and CA Penarol win 57%. Average goals 2.5; the most likely score is 0-1 (14%); both teams score in 47%. About 8.7 corners on average. About 5.4 yellow cards on average; a red card in 27%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
