CSKA Sofia vs PFC Ludogorets Razgrad: the story of the match
26' — CSKA Sofia took the lead: 1-0. Á. Martino scored it. Half time: 1-0.
88' — CSKA Sofia extended the lead: 2-0. S. Godoy scored it. It came in the closing minutes. CSKA Sofia won 2-0. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
CSKA SofiaDrawPFC Ludogorets Razgrad
Pre-match model estimate: CSKA Sofia 47%, draw 25%, PFC Ludogorets Razgrad 28%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): CSKA Sofia win in 47% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and PFC Ludogorets Razgrad win 28%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 55%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
CSKA Sofia took the lead in the 26th minute: Á. Martino, set up by S. Godoy. Half-time: 1-0, CSKA Sofia in front.
CSKA Sofia extended their lead to 2-0 in the 88th minute: S. Godoy, set up by I. Solet Bomawoko.
Match statistics
On target it was 6-2, from 6 and 3 attempts respectively. Corners finished 5-7.
The bigger picture
CSKA Sofia climb from 2nd to 1st on 30 points. PFC Ludogorets Razgrad remain 3rd, now with 26 points. CSKA Sofia have now scored in 11 consecutive matches. PFC Ludogorets Razgrad's 11-match unbeaten run is over.
Coming up
CSKA Sofia host PFK Slavia Sofia next, on 31 October in the First League. Next up for PFC Ludogorets Razgrad: away at Lokomotiv Plovdiv on Saturday 31 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
First League
