Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs PFK Slavia Sofia: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
70' — I. Ivanov of Lokomotiv Plovdiv was sent off. The match ended 0-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Lokomotiv PlovdivDrawPFK Slavia Sofia
Pre-match model estimate: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 44%, draw 29%, PFK Slavia Sofia 27%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Lokomotiv Plovdiv win in 44% of the simulated matches, 29% end level and PFK Slavia Sofia win 27%. Average goals 2.2; the most likely score is 1-0 (14%); both teams score in 43%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv extend their unbeaten run to 6 matches. Across 11 meetings in our records: 6 wins for Lokomotiv Plovdiv, 2 wins for PFK Slavia Sofia and 3 draws.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
