Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire: the story of the match
22' — Colorado Rapids took the lead: 1-0. 41' — Chicago Fire equalised: 1-1. Half time: 1-1.
56' — Chicago Fire completed the turnaround: 1-2. 58' — Colorado Rapids equalised: 2-2. 74' — Chicago Fire completed the turnaround: 2-3. 88' — Chicago Fire extended the lead: 2-4. It came in the closing minutes. Chicago Fire won 2-4. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Colorado RapidsDrawChicago Fire
Pre-match model estimate: Colorado Rapids 42%, draw 24%, Chicago Fire 34%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Colorado Rapids win in 42% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and Chicago Fire win 34%. Average goals 3.1; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 62%. About 9.9 corners on average. About 3.9 yellow cards on average; a red card in 19%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Colorado Rapids took the lead on 22 minutes. Chicago Fire drew level at 1-1 on 41 minutes. Half-time: 1-1 between Colorado Rapids and Chicago Fire.
Chicago Fire completed the turnaround at 2-1 on 56 minutes. Just 2 minutes later (58') Colorado Rapids drew level at 2-2. Chicago Fire completed the turnaround at 3-2 on 74 minutes. Late on, in the 88th minute, Chicago Fire extended their lead to 4-2.
Match statistics
The shot count read 4-2, 2-2 on target. Colorado Rapids won 5 corners, Chicago Fire 6. Chicago Fire produced 163 dangerous attacks to Colorado Rapids' 113.
The bigger picture
Chicago Fire ended Colorado Rapids' unbeaten run of 5 matches. It is Chicago Fire's first win against Colorado Rapids since 2019.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
