Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
About this match
Cienciano del Cusco and Atletico Grau meet on in Primera Division, Clausura.
Venue: Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega.
Missing players
Players who will not play in this match, and doubtful ones
Atletico Grau
Christian VásquezRed card ban · misses the next Primera Division, Clausura match
Based on the pre-match reports; it can change until kick-off.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
Scoreno
Statisticsno
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards Cienciano del Cusco (76%).
Chances to win
Model estimate
76%15%
Cienciano del Cusco76%Draw15%Atletico Grau9%
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
Cienciano del Cusco vs Atletico Grau: preview
Cienciano del Cusco have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches. Cienciano del Cusco have scored in 5 matches in a row. 6 of Cienciano del Cusco's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 6. Atletico Grau have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches. Atletico Grau have not won in 4 matches. 5 of Atletico Grau's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 6.
Cienciano del Cusco are in position 12 with 14 points, Atletico Grau in position 11 with 18 points. A win could lift Atletico Grau as high as position 9.
Our pre-match model estimate: Cienciano del Cusco 76%, draw 15%, Atletico Grau 9%.
Table by result
Cienciano del Cusco12
Win12Draw12Loss12
Atletico Grau11
A win can lift them as high as 9.
Win9–11Draw11Loss11
Worked out from the pre-match table and the live scores in the league.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
Preparing the simulation…
Model simulation (20,000 runs): Cienciano del Cusco win in 76% of the simulated matches, 15% end level and Atletico Grau win 9%. Average goals 3.2; the most likely score is 2-0 (13%); both teams score in 47%. About 9.5 corners on average. About 4.5 yellow cards on average; a red card in 24%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Cienciano del Cusco go into the game 12th on 14 points, Atletico Grau 11th on 18 points. Cienciano del Cusco trail Atletico Grau by 4 points.
Form guide
Cienciano del Cusco have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 6. Cienciano del Cusco have scored in each of their last 5 matches. 6 of Cienciano del Cusco's last 10 matches have had three or more goals.
Over the last 5 matches, Atletico Grau have collected 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Atletico Grau have gone 4 matches without a win. Atletico Grau average 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game over their last 10.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Primera Division, Clausura
