This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Chornomorets Odessa U21 win in 27% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and Karpaty Lviv U21 win 51%. Average goals 3.4; the most likely score is 1-1 (10%); both teams score in 65%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Chornomorets Odessa U21 – Karpaty Lviv U21 match report
Karpaty Lviv U21 took the lead on 34 minutes. Half-time: 0-1, Karpaty Lviv U21 in front.
Chornomorets Odessa U21 drew level at 1-1 on 51 minutes. Karpaty Lviv U21 went 2-1 up on 84 minutes.
Match statistics
Corners finished 5-5.
What the result means
Chornomorets Odessa U21 slip to 8th (15 points), having started the day 7th. Karpaty Lviv U21 climb from 6th to 4th on 19 points. Chornomorets Odessa U21 have now scored in 4 consecutive matches. Karpaty Lviv U21 are now unbeaten in 4 matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
