Ceuta II beat CD Utrera 5-2 in Tercera Federación – Group 10.
In our records Ceuta II and CD Utrera have met 4 times: Ceuta II won 0, 2 ended level and CD Utrera won 2.
Their latest meeting (): Ceuta II 1-1 CD Utrera.
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsno
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result awaiting verification.
Full time: Ceuta II won 5-2.
Story
Ceuta II vs CD Utrera: the story of the match
Half time: 3-1.
Ceuta II won 5-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Ceuta IIDrawCD Utrera
Pre-match model estimate: Ceuta II 28%, draw 32%, CD Utrera 40%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Ceuta II win in 28% of the simulated matches, 32% end level and CD Utrera win 40%. Average goals 1.8; the most likely score is 0-1 (17%); both teams score in 35%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
