14' — Celta de Vigo took the lead: 1-0. I. Aspas scored it. Half time: 1-0.
51' — M. Alonso of Celta de Vigo was sent off. 54' — Osasuna equalised: 1-1. K. Barja scored it. 64' — Osasuna completed the turnaround: 1-2. A. Budimir scored from the penalty spot. Osasuna won 1-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Celta de VigoDrawOsasuna
Pre-match model estimate: Celta de Vigo 53%, draw 28%, Osasuna 19%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Celta de Vigo took the lead on 14 minutes thanks to I. Aspas, set up by M. Roman. It was Celta de Vigo 1-0 Osasuna at half-time.
Celta de Vigo had a player sent off on 51 minutes: M. Alonso. Osasuna drew level at 1-1 on 54 minutes thanks to K. Barja, set up by R. Garcia. Osasuna completed the turnaround at 2-1 on 64 minutes thanks to A. Budimir from the penalty spot.
LaLiga
