CD Universidad Catolica QuitoDDLLWNo win in 4 matches
LDU QuitoLDWWWScored in 6 matches in a row
Line-ups
Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
About this match
CD Universidad Catolica Quito and LDU Quito meet on in Copa Ecuador.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
Scoreno
Statisticsno
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards CD Universidad Catolica Quito (43%).
Chances to win
Model estimate
43%31%26%
CD Universidad Catolica Quito43%Draw31%LDU Quito26%
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
CD Universidad Catolica Quito vs LDU Quito: preview
CD Universidad Catolica Quito have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches. CD Universidad Catolica Quito have not won in 4 matches. 4 of CD Universidad Catolica Quito's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 6. LDU Quito have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches. LDU Quito have scored in 6 matches in a row. 6 of LDU Quito's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 8.
Our pre-match model estimate: CD Universidad Catolica Quito 43%, draw 31%, LDU Quito 26%.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
Preparing the simulation…
Model simulation (20,000 runs): CD Universidad Catolica Quito win in 43% of the simulated matches, 31% end level and LDU Quito win 26%. Average goals 2.0; the most likely score is 1-0 (16%); both teams score in 39%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
CD Universidad Catolica Quito have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 5. CD Universidad Catolica Quito have gone 4 matches without a win. CD Universidad Catolica Quito average 1.4 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game over their last 10.
Over the last 5 matches, LDU Quito have collected 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. LDU Quito have scored in each of their last 6 matches. 6 of LDU Quito's last 10 matches have had three or more goals.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
