Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
CD Union Comercio and CD Union Minas drew 3-3 in Liga 2.
Venue: Estadio Municipal Carlos Vidaurre Garcia.
Match details
Venue
Estadio Municipal Carlos Vidaurre Garcia, Tarapoto
Match decisions & VAR
17'Penalty awardedCD Union ComercioDecision
50'Red cardCD Union MinasDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datamatch statistics
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: 3-3.
Story
CD Union Comercio vs CD Union Minas: the story of the match
CD Union Comercio started on the front foot and controlled the first 15 minutes. 19' — CD Union Comercio took the lead: 1-0. 35' — CD Union Minas equalised: 1-1. 43' — CD Union Minas completed the turnaround: 1-2. Half time: 1-2.
50' — CD Union Minas had a player sent off. 72' — CD Union Comercio equalised: 2-2. 77' — CD Union Comercio completed the turnaround: 3-2. 90' — CD Union Minas equalised: 3-3. It came in the closing minutes. After 46' the momentum swung to CD Union Comercio. The match ended 3-3. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
CD Union ComercioDrawCD Union Minas
Pre-match model estimate: CD Union Comercio 60%, draw 22%, CD Union Minas 18%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
CD Union ComercioCD Union Minas
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min6358
Last 15 min3728
Recorded from minute 6.
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): CD Union Comercio win in 60% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and CD Union Minas win 18%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 1-0 (11%); both teams score in 52%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
It finished 3-3 between CD Union Comercio and CD Union Minas at Estadio Municipal Carlos Vidaurre Garcia. It was 1-2 at half-time.
The story of the match
CD Union Comercio started on the front foot, pressing for the first 15 minutes. CD Union Comercio took the lead on 19 minutes. CD Union Minas drew level at 1-1 on 35 minutes. CD Union Minas completed the turnaround at 2-1 on 43 minutes. CD Union Minas led 2-1 at the break.
From the 46th minute the pressure shifted towards CD Union Comercio. CD Union Minas had a player sent off on 50 minutes. CD Union Comercio drew level at 2-2 on 72 minutes. Just 5 minutes later (77') CD Union Comercio completed the turnaround at 3-2. Late on, in the 90th minute, CD Union Minas drew level at 3-3.
The statistics
CD Union Comercio had 6 shots (3 on target) to CD Union Minas' 3 (3). Corners finished 4-3. Dangerous attacks: 56 for CD Union Comercio, 22 for CD Union Minas.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
