Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
CD Mafra beat Louletano DC 2-1 in Liga 3, Group B.
Venue: Estadio Municipal de Mafra.
Match details
Venue
Estadio Municipal de Mafra, Mafra
Coaches
Tim Sparv · Miguel Valenca
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
CD Mafra
F. Lemos
C. Raposo
M. Camara
K. Alves
J. Silva
A. Ba
B. Sambu
A. Ngom
L. Neves
R. Matos
M. Niang
Louletano DC
Marcao
Carlinhos
Gabriel Passos
L. van der Gaag
M. Cruz
T. Correia
V. Goncalves
D. Martins
Dede
Daniel Paulino
G. Teixeira
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsno
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result awaiting verification.
Full time: CD Mafra won 2-1.
Story
CD Mafra vs Louletano DC: the story of the match
31' — Louletano DC took the lead: 0-1. L. van der Gaag scored it. 37' — CD Mafra equalised: 1-1. M. Niang scored it. Half time: 1-1.
90' — CD Mafra completed the turnaround: 2-1. Leandro Alves scored it. It came in the closing minutes. CD Mafra won 2-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
CD MafraDrawLouletano DC
Pre-match model estimate: CD Mafra 57%, draw 24%, Louletano DC 19%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): CD Mafra win in 57% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and Louletano DC win 19%. Average goals 2.6; the most likely score is 1-0 (13%); both teams score in 48%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Louletano DC let a lead slip and lost 2-1 to CD Mafra at Estadio Municipal de Mafra.
How the match unfolded
Louletano DC took the lead on 31 minutes thanks to L. van der Gaag, set up by M. Cruz. CD Mafra drew level at 1-1 in the 37th minute: M. Niang, set up by M. Camara. The first half ended 1-1.
Late on, in the 90th minute, CD Mafra completed the turnaround at 2-1 through Leandro Alves.
The bigger picture
CD Mafra extend their unbeaten run to 5 matches. Louletano DC have now gone 4 matches without a win.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Liga 3, Group B
