CD Covadonga vs Astur CF kick-off time: 15/11/2026 11:00
Match info
Last 5 matches
More- CD CovadongaDLWWL
- Astur CFDDDDDNo win in 9 matches
Line-ups
Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
CD Covadonga and Astur CF meet on in Tercera Federación – Group 2.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
- Scoreno
- Statisticsno
- Line-upsyes
- Pitch animationno
- Pressure datano
- Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards CD Covadonga (83%).
Chances to win
Model estimate
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
CD Covadonga vs Astur CF: preview
CD Covadonga have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches. 7 of CD Covadonga's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 5. Astur CF have won 0, drawn 5 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches. Astur CF have not won in 9 matches. 6 of Astur CF's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 6.
Our pre-match model estimate: CD Covadonga 83%, draw 11%, Astur CF 6%.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulationsModel simulation (20,000 runs): CD Covadonga win in 83% of the simulated matches, 11% end level and Astur CF win 6%. Average goals 3.8; the most likely score is 2-0 (11%); both teams score in 50%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.

