CD Castellon vs Sporting Gijon: the story of the match
3' — CD Castellon took the lead: 1-0. Adam Jakobsen scored it. 26' — CD Castellon extended the lead: 2-0. Israel Suero scored it. Half time: 2-0.
52' — CD Castellon extended the lead: 3-0. Adam Jakobsen scored it. 87' — CD Castellon extended the lead: 4-0. Varo scored it. It came in the closing minutes. CD Castellon won 4-0. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
CD CastellonDrawSporting Gijon
Pre-match model estimate: CD Castellon 64%, draw 20%, Sporting Gijon 16%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): CD Castellon win in 64% of the simulated matches, 20% end level and Sporting Gijon win 16%. Average goals 3.0; the most likely score is 2-0 (11%); both teams score in 52%. About 10.3 corners on average. About 4.9 yellow cards on average; a red card in 19%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Adam Jakobsen opened the scoring for CD Castellon after 3 minutes. CD Castellon extended their lead to 2-0 in the 26th minute: Israel Suero. CD Castellon led 2-0 at the break.
Adam Jakobsen made it 3-0 for CD Castellon after 52 minutes. Late on, in the 87th minute, CD Castellon extended their lead to 4-0 through Varo.
Match statistics
On target it was 4-2, from 11 and 8 attempts respectively.
The bigger picture
CD Castellon climb from 2nd to 1st on 26 points. Sporting Gijon slip to 8th (19 points), having started the day 4th. Sporting Gijon's winning streak stops at 3.
Coming up
Next up for CD Castellon: away at Burgos CF on Sunday 1 November. Sporting Gijon's next match is away to AD Ceuta FC on 1 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
LaLiga 2
