Albacete Balompie vs CD Eldense: the story of the match
20' — Albacete Balompie took the lead: 1-0. Victor San Bartolomé scored it. 45' — Albacete Balompie extended the lead: 2-0. Higinio Marín scored it. Half time: 2-0.
Albacete Balompie won 2-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Albacete BalompieDrawCD Eldense
Pre-match model estimate: Albacete Balompie 40%, draw 25%, CD Eldense 35%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Albacete Balompie win in 40% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and CD Eldense win 35%. Average goals 2.9; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 58%. About 10.6 corners on average. About 4.9 yellow cards on average; a red card in 19%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Albacete Balompie took the lead on 20 minutes thanks to Victor San Bartolomé. Albacete Balompie extended their lead to 2-0 on 45 minutes thanks to Higinio Marín. It was Albacete Balompie 2-0 CD Eldense at half-time.
Match statistics
Corners finished 10-4.
The bigger picture
Albacete Balompie remain 22nd, now with 4 points. CD Eldense slip to 12th (14 points), having started the day 11th. A 11-game wait for victory is over for Albacete Balompie. CD Eldense's winning streak stops at 3.
LaLiga 2
