CD Alfaro vs CA River Ebro kick-off time: 15/11/2026 16:00
Match info
Last 5 matches
More- CD AlfaroWLWWW
- CA River EbroLWDWL
Line-ups
Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
CD Alfaro and CA River Ebro meet on in Tercera Federación – Group 16.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
- Scoreno
- Statisticsno
- Line-upsyes
- Pitch animationno
- Pressure datano
- Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards CD Alfaro (58%).
Chances to win
Model estimate
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
CD Alfaro vs CA River Ebro: preview
CD Alfaro have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches. 5 of CD Alfaro's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 5. CA River Ebro have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches. 4 of CA River Ebro's last 7 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 4.
Our pre-match model estimate: CD Alfaro 58%, draw 25%, CA River Ebro 17%.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulationsModel simulation (20,000 runs): CD Alfaro win in 58% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and CA River Ebro win 17%. Average goals 2.4; the most likely score is 1-0 (15%); both teams score in 44%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
