Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Montevideo City Torque beat CA Penarol 2-0 in Copa Uruguay, Knockout Stage.
In our records CA Penarol and Montevideo City Torque have met 10 times: CA Penarol won 6, 2 ended level and Montevideo City Torque won 2.
Their latest meeting (): Montevideo City Torque 1-1 CA Penarol.
Match decisions & VAR
53'Penalty awardedMontevideo City TorqueDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datamatch statistics
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Montevideo City Torque won 0-2.
Story
CA Penarol vs Montevideo City Torque: the story of the match
CA Penarol started on the front foot and controlled the first 15 minutes. Half time: 0-0, with Montevideo City Torque applying more of the pressure.
55' — Montevideo City Torque took the lead: 0-1. 73' — Montevideo City Torque extended the lead: 0-2. After 76' the momentum swung to CA Penarol. Montevideo City Torque won 0-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
CA PenarolDrawMontevideo City Torque
Pre-match model estimate: CA Penarol 48%, draw 26%, Montevideo City Torque 26%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
CA PenarolMontevideo City Torque
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min4631
Last 15 min4225
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): CA Penarol win in 48% of the simulated matches, 26% end level and Montevideo City Torque win 26%. Average goals 2.5; the most likely score is 1-0 (13%); both teams score in 48%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
The early pressure came from CA Penarol, who controlled the opening 15 minutes. Half-time: 0-0 between CA Penarol and Montevideo City Torque.
Montevideo City Torque took the lead on 55 minutes. Montevideo City Torque extended their lead to 2-0 on 73 minutes. CA Penarol took over after the 76th minute, pinning Montevideo City Torque back.
The statistics
CA Penarol had 3 shots (1 on target) to Montevideo City Torque's 11 (7). CA Penarol won 2 corners, Montevideo City Torque 5. Montevideo City Torque produced 67 dangerous attacks to CA Penarol's 45.
What the result means
CA Penarol have now gone 4 matches without a win. Montevideo City Torque have now scored in 4 consecutive matches.
Next fixtures
Next up for CA Penarol: home to Montevideo Wanderers FC on Saturday 31 October. Montevideo City Torque's next match is away to Boston River on 1 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Copa Uruguay, Knockout Stage
