Bradford City vs Peterborough United: the story of the match
Neither side took control in the first 15 minutes. 13' — Bradford City took the lead: 1-0. Macaulay Gillesphey scored it. Half time: 1-0, with Bradford City applying more of the pressure.
67' — Bradford City extended the lead: 2-0. Adam Phillips scored it. Bradford City won 2-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Bradford CityDrawPeterborough United
Pre-match model estimate: Bradford City 60%, draw 21%, Peterborough United 19%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
Bradford CityPeterborough United
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min9812
Last 15 min9571
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Bradford City win in 60% of the simulated matches, 21% end level and Peterborough United win 19%. Average goals 3.0; the most likely score is 1-0 (10%); both teams score in 54%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Bradford City – Peterborough United match report
Updated:
Bradford City beat Peterborough United2-0 without conceding at Valley Parade. It was 1-0 at half-time. The attendance at Valley Parade was 14,732.
Bradford City extended their lead to 2-0 on 67 minutes thanks to Adam Phillips, set up by Jake Beesley. The officials disallowed a Bradford City goal on 86 minutes.
The statistics
The shot count read 11-15, 4-2 on target. Corners finished 8-6. Dangerous attacks: 295 for Bradford City, 193 for Peterborough United.
The bigger picture
Bradford City are now unbeaten in 12 matches. The wait for a win goes on for Peterborough United: 4 matches now.
What’s next
Bradford City's next match is at home against Huddersfield Town on 31 October. Peterborough United host Luton Town next, on 31 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
EFL Cup
