One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
Preparing the simulation…
Botev VratsaKick-off0-0Lokomotiv Plovdiv
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Botev Vratsa win in 45% of the simulated matches, 29% end level and Lokomotiv Plovdiv win 26%. Average goals 2.2; the most likely score is 1-0 (15%); both teams score in 42%. About 9.2 corners on average. About 4.8 yellow cards on average; a red card in 23%.
Goals scored per match: 1Goals conceded per match: 0.8
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 1-2.
Story
Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv: the story of the match
37' — Lokomotiv Plovdiv took the lead: 0-1. Christ Longville scored it. Half time: 0-1.
46' — Lokomotiv Plovdiv extended the lead: 0-2. D. Mrankov scored it. 48' — Botev Vratsa pulled one back: 1-2. M. Smolenski scored it. Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 1-2.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv beat Botev Vratsa2-1 in the 1. League at Hristo Botev Stadium. It was 0-1 at half-time. Player of the match: D. Mrankov of Lokomotiv Plovdiv, with a ScoreMondo rating of 7.8. The match was played on Saturday, 7 November 2026 at Hristo Botev Stadium in Vratsa (matchday 13).
How the match unfolded
Christ Longville opened the scoring for Lokomotiv Plovdiv after 37 minutes, set up by D. Mrankov. Lokomotiv Plovdiv led 1-0 at the break.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv extended their lead to 2-0 in the 46th minute through D. Mrankov, set up by J. Lamy. Botev Vratsa pulled one back to make it 1-2 in the 48th minute through M. Smolenski, set up by F. Gigov.
Match statistics
The referee showed 4 yellow cards, 1 to Botev Vratsa and 3 to Lokomotiv Plovdiv. Dangerous attacks: 54 for Botev Vratsa, 37 for Lokomotiv Plovdiv. Botev Vratsa committed 13 fouls to Lokomotiv Plovdiv's 18, and the offside count read 1-0.
Botev Vratsa's yellow cards went to I. Goranov in the 90th minute. Booked for Lokomotiv Plovdiv: T. Pavlov (52'), J. Lamy (54') and Lucas Ryan (94').
The players
The best ScoreMondo ratings after the player of the match went to Christ Longville (Lokomotiv Plovdiv, 7.2), M. Smolenski (Botev Vratsa, 7.0) and F. Gigov (Botev Vratsa, 6.5). From the Botev Vratsa bench came D. Genov on 73 minutes, V. Naydenov on 73 minutes, A. Stoyanov on 89 minutes and K. Hadji on 89 minutes. Lokomotiv Plovdiv made 3 changes: A. Fase for M. Petrović (55'), Sevi Idriz for Christ Longville (75') and M. Trdan for J. Iliev (84').
Before the match
Before kick-off Botev Vratsa were 11th on 10 points and Lokomotiv Plovdiv 13th on 9 points. Botev Vratsa came into the match with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from their last 5 matches. Cherno More Varna beat Botev Vratsa 1-0 last time out. Before kick-off, Lokomotiv Plovdiv's last 5 matches had brought 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. Lokomotiv Plovdiv lost 3-0 at home to PFC Ludogorets Razgrad in their last match. In 10 previous meetings, Botev Vratsa have won 3, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 5, and 2 have been drawn. The last meeting, in 2026, went 2-1 to Lokomotiv Plovdiv. Those 10 games produced 24 goals, an average of 2.4 per match. Piskov·Gero was the referee.
What it means
Botev Vratsa slip to 13th (10 points), having started the day 11th. Lokomotiv Plovdiv climb from 13th to 11th on 12 points.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
