One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
Preparing the simulation…
Blackburn RoversKick-off0-0Stoke City
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Blackburn Rovers win in 36% of the simulated matches, 27% end level and Stoke City win 37%. Average goals 2.5; the most likely score is 1-1 (13%); both teams score in 52%. About 10.7 corners on average. About 2.9 yellow cards on average; a red card in 13%.
Goals scored per match: 1.6Goals conceded per match: 0.9
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Stoke City won 1-2.
Story
Blackburn Rovers vs Stoke City: the story of the match
43' — Stoke City took the lead: 0-1. Jack McGlynn scored it. Half time: 0-1.
68' — Stoke City extended the lead: 0-2. An own goal by Moussa Baradji. 87' — Blackburn Rovers pulled one back: 1-2. Andri Gudjohnsen scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Stoke City won 1-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Blackburn RoversDrawStoke City
Pre-match model estimate: Blackburn Rovers 36%, draw 27%, Stoke City 37%.
Blackburn Rovers went down 2-1 to Stoke City in the Championship. The half-time score was 0-1. Player of the match: Jack McGlynn of Stoke City, with a ScoreMondo rating of 7.2. Tuesday 3 November, Ewood Park (Blackburn): Blackburn Rovers against Stoke City on matchday 14, kick-off 19:45.
Key moments
Stoke City took the lead in the 43rd minute through Jack McGlynn. Half-time: 0-1, Stoke City in front.
Stoke City extended their lead to 2-0 on 68 minutes thanks to an own goal from Moussa Baradji. Late on, in the 87th minute, Blackburn Rovers pulled one back to make it 1-2 through Andri Gudjohnsen. Blackburn Rovers had a goal ruled out in the 91st minute.
Match statistics
The shot count read 10-5, 7-4 on target. Blackburn Rovers won 6 corners, Stoke City 5. Cards: 3-4 in yellows. Blackburn Rovers produced 57 dangerous attacks to Stoke City's 27. Fouls: 13 by Blackburn Rovers, 19 by Stoke City; offsides 0-1.
The table had Blackburn Rovers 13th (18 points) and Stoke City 7th (23 points) going into the game. Before kick-off, Blackburn Rovers' last 5 matches had brought 3 wins and 2 defeats. Blackburn Rovers lost 4-0 away to Swansea City in their last match. Stoke City came into the match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from their last 5 matches — unbeaten in 3. Their most recent game was a 2-0 win over Preston North End for Stoke City. Blackburn Rovers and Stoke City have met 10 times in our records: 3 wins for Blackburn Rovers, 5 for Stoke City and 2 draws. When they last met, on 11 April 2026, it ended 1-1. There have been 22 goals in the 10 meetings, 2.2 a game. Referee Andrew Kitchen showed 7 yellow cards; the average in our records is 3.1 yellows per game over 70 matches.
What the result means
Stoke City's run of 3 clean sheets is over.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
