Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
SKS Unia Swarzedz beat BKS Chemik Bydgoszcz 3-1 in III Liga - Group II.
Match decisions & VAR
29'Penalty awardedBKS Chemik BydgoszczDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: SKS Unia Swarzedz won 1-3.
Story
BKS Chemik Bydgoszcz vs SKS Unia Swarzedz: the story of the match
4' — SKS Unia Swarzedz took the lead: 0-1. 30' — BKS Chemik Bydgoszcz equalised: 1-1. Half time: 1-1.
51' — SKS Unia Swarzedz went back in front: 1-2. 79' — SKS Unia Swarzedz extended the lead: 1-3. SKS Unia Swarzedz won 1-3.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
BKS Chemik BydgoszczDrawSKS Unia Swarzedz
Pre-match model estimate: BKS Chemik Bydgoszcz 31%, draw 25%, SKS Unia Swarzedz 44%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): BKS Chemik Bydgoszcz win in 31% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and SKS Unia Swarzedz win 44%. Average goals 2.9; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 57%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
BKS Chemik Bydgoszcz – SKS Unia Swarzedz match report
SKS Unia Swarzedz took the lead on 4 minutes. BKS Chemik Bydgoszcz drew level at 1-1 on 30 minutes. Half-time: 1-1 between BKS Chemik Bydgoszcz and SKS Unia Swarzedz.
SKS Unia Swarzedz went 2-1 up on 51 minutes. SKS Unia Swarzedz extended their lead to 3-1 on 79 minutes.
The statistics
On target it was 2-4, from 3 and 7 attempts respectively. BKS Chemik Bydgoszcz won 4 corners, SKS Unia Swarzedz 3. SKS Unia Swarzedz produced 144 dangerous attacks to BKS Chemik Bydgoszcz's 108.
What it means
The result takes BKS Chemik Bydgoszcz to 12 points. SKS Unia Swarzedz move on to 17 points. SKS Unia Swarzedz extend their unbeaten run to 5 matches.
III Liga - Group II
