Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
TKP Elana Torun beat Baltyk Koszalin 3-2 in III Liga - Group II.
Match decisions & VAR
93'Penalty awardedBaltyk KoszalinDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: TKP Elana Torun won 2-3.
Story
Baltyk Koszalin vs TKP Elana Torun: the story of the match
13' — TKP Elana Torun took the lead: 0-1. Half time: 0-1.
52' — TKP Elana Torun extended the lead: 0-2. 58' — TKP Elana Torun extended the lead: 0-3. 89' — Baltyk Koszalin pulled one back: 1-3. It came in the closing minutes. 90' — Baltyk Koszalin pulled one back: 2-3. It came in the closing minutes. TKP Elana Torun won 2-3. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Baltyk Koszalin win in 44% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and TKP Elana Torun win 32%. Average goals 3.0; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 60%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
TKP Elana Torun took the lead on 13 minutes. TKP Elana Torun led 1-0 at the break.
TKP Elana Torun extended their lead to 2-0 on 52 minutes. Just 6 minutes later (58') TKP Elana Torun extended their lead to 3-0. Late on, in the 89th minute, Baltyk Koszalin pulled one back to make it 1-3. Late on, in the 90th minute, Baltyk Koszalin pulled one back to make it 2-3.
Match statistics
Corners finished 10-5.
The bigger picture
Baltyk Koszalin move on to 16 points. The result takes TKP Elana Torun to 16 points. Baltyk Koszalin's 4-match unbeaten run is over. That is 4 straight wins for TKP Elana Torun.
What’s next
Next up for Baltyk Koszalin: away at KS Wda Swiecie on Saturday 31 October. TKP Elana Torun's next match is at home against MKS Victoria Wrzesnia on 31 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
III Liga - Group II
