Besiktas vs Crystal Palace: the story of the match
45' — Besiktas took the lead: 1-0. Wilfred Ndidi scored it. Half time: 1-0.
51' — Crystal Palace equalised: 1-1. Yéremy Pino scored it. 55' — Crystal Palace completed the turnaround: 1-2. Jean-Philippe Mateta scored it. 73' — Besiktas equalised: 2-2. Junior Olaitan scored it. 77' — Umit Akdag of Besiktas was sent off. The match ended 2-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
BesiktasDrawCrystal Palace
Pre-match model estimate: Besiktas 33%, draw 25%, Crystal Palace 42%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Besiktas win in 33% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and Crystal Palace win 42%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 57%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Besiktas – Crystal Palace match report
Updated:
It finished 2-2 between Besiktas and Crystal Palace at Vodafone Park. It was 1-0 at half-time.
How the match unfolded
VAR disallowed a Crystal Palace goal on 7 minutes. Besiktas took the lead in the 45th minute: Wilfred Ndidi. It was Besiktas 1-0 Crystal Palace at half-time.
A Crystal Palace goal stood after a VAR check in the 51st minute. Crystal Palace drew level at 1-1 in the 51st minute: Yéremy Pino, set up by Anan Khalaili. Crystal Palace completed the turnaround at 2-1 in the 55th minute: Jean-Philippe Mateta. Besiktas drew level at 2-2 in the 73rd minute: Junior Olaitan. Umit Akdag saw a second yellow and then red in the 77th minute, leaving Besiktas short-handed.
What the numbers say
Besiktas had 2 shots (2 on target) to Crystal Palace's 7 (4).
What it means
Besiktas slip to 8th (7 points), having started the day 4th. Crystal Palace remain 15th, now with 4 points.
Coming up
Besiktas visit Kasimpasa next, on 1 November. Next up for Crystal Palace: away at Fulham on Wednesday 28 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
