Belgium vs Italy kick-off time: 15/11/2026 19:45
UEFA Nations League, League A, Gr. 1
Match info
Last 5 matches
More- BelgiumLWLWL
- ItalyWDWLWUnbeaten in 3 matches
Recent meetings
More- UEFA Nations LeagueItaly0 - 2Belgium
- UEFA Nations LeagueBelgium0 - 1Italy
- UEFA Nations LeagueItaly2 - 2Belgium
UEFA Nations League, League A, Gr. 1
MoreLine-ups
Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
Belgium and Italy meet on in UEFA Nations League, League A, Gr. 1.
In our records Belgium and Italy have met 5 times: Belgium won 1, 1 ended level and Italy won 3.
Their latest meeting (): Italy 0-2 Belgium.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
- Scoreno
- Statisticsno
- Line-upsyes
- Pitch animationno
- Pressure datano
- Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards Belgium (49%).
Chances to win
Model estimate
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
Belgium vs Italy: preview
Belgium have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches. 6 of Belgium's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 5. Italy have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches. Italy are unbeaten in 3 matches. 3 of Italy's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 5.
In their last 5 meetings, Belgium won 1, 1 ended level and Italy won 3.
Our pre-match model estimate: Belgium 49%, draw 23%, Italy 28%.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulationsModel simulation (20,000 runs): Belgium win in 49% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and Italy win 28%. Average goals 2.9; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 57%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
