Finland vs San Marino kick-off time: 15 Nov 2026
ScoreMondo estimate
MoreMost likely score: 2-0 (12%)
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Last 5 · Recent meetings
More- FinlandLWDWL
- San MarinoLLLLLNo win in 12 matches
- UEFA Nations LeagueSan Marino0 - 7Finland
UEFA Nations League, League A, Gr. 1
More| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Albania | 4 | +5 | 9 |
| 2 | Belarus | 4 | +3 | 7 |
| 3 | Finland | 4 | +7 | 7 |
| 4 | San Marino | 4 | -15 | 0 |
Line-ups
Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
Finland and San Marino meet on in UEFA Nations League, League A, Gr. 1.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulationsOne of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Model simulation (20,000 runs): Finland win in 84% of the simulated matches, 11% end level and San Marino win 5%. Average goals 3.6; the most likely score is 2-0 (12%); both teams score in 45%.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
- Scoreno
- Statisticsno
- Line-upsyes
- Pitch animationno
- Pressure datano
- Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards Finland (84%).
Chances to win
Model estimate
Our own statistical model's estimate — a probability, not a certainty. How is this calculated? →
Preview
Finland vs San Marino: preview
Finland have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches. 5 of Finland's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 3. San Marino have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 matches. San Marino have not won in 12 matches. 9 of San Marino's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 5.
Our pre-match model estimate: Finland 84%, draw 11%, San Marino 5%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.

