18' — Augsburg took the lead: 1-0. M. Gregoritsch scored it. Half time: 1-0.
62' — R. Schallenberg of Schalke 04 was sent off. 79' — Augsburg extended the lead: 2-0. A. Kade scored it. 90' — Augsburg extended the lead: 3-0. R. Ribeiro scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Augsburg won 3-0. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
AugsburgDrawSchalke 04
Pre-match model estimate: Augsburg 59%, draw 24%, Schalke 04 17%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Schalke 04 were beaten 3-0 by a rampant Augsburg. It was 1-0 at half-time.
Key moments
Augsburg took the lead in the 18th minute: M. Gregoritsch, set up by A. Kade. Augsburg led 1-0 at the break.
R. Schallenberg saw a straight red card in the 62nd minute, leaving Schalke 04 short-handed. Augsburg extended their lead to 2-0 on 79 minutes thanks to A. Kade, set up by F. Rieder. Late on, in the 90th minute, Augsburg extended their lead to 3-0 through R. Ribeiro, set up by Seol Young-Woo.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.