Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
ASD Seravezza Pozzi Calcio and Follonica Gavorrano drew 1-1 in Italy / Serie D - Girone D.
Match decisions & VAR
92'Red cardFollonica GavorranoDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: 1-1.
Story
ASD Seravezza Pozzi Calcio vs Follonica Gavorrano: the story of the match
41' — Follonica Gavorrano took the lead: 0-1. Half time: 0-1.
90' — ASD Seravezza Pozzi Calcio equalised: 1-1. It came in the closing minutes. 92' — Follonica Gavorrano had a player sent off. The match ended 1-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
ASD Seravezza Pozzi CalcioDrawFollonica Gavorrano
Pre-match model estimate: ASD Seravezza Pozzi Calcio 50%, draw 26%, Follonica Gavorrano 24%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): ASD Seravezza Pozzi Calcio win in 50% of the simulated matches, 26% end level and Follonica Gavorrano win 24%. Average goals 2.5; the most likely score is 1-0 (13%); both teams score in 49%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
ASD Seravezza Pozzi Calcio – Follonica Gavorrano match report
Italy / Serie D - Girone D
