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ASD Venafro beat ASD Aranova 1-0 in Serie D – Group G.
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Last update:
Result awaiting verification.
Full time: ASD Venafro won 0-1.
Half time: 0-1.
ASD Venafro won 0-1.
Model estimate
Pre-match model estimate: ASD Aranova 54%, draw 25%, ASD Venafro 21%.
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
What the pre-match simulation said
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): ASD Aranova win in 54% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and ASD Venafro win 21%. Average goals 2.5; the most likely score is 1-0 (13%); both teams score in 48%. About 9.9 corners on average. About 4.1 yellow cards on average; a red card in 22%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
ScoreMondo · Published: · Updated:
ASD Venafro kept a clean sheet in a 1-0 win over ASD Aranova in Serie D – Group G.
By half: 0-1 and 0-0.
ASD Aranova's run of 9 matches with a goal comes to an end. ASD Venafro extend their unbeaten run to 5 matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
