Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Carpi FC beat ASD Alcione 2-1 in Serie C, Group B.
In our records ASD Alcione and Carpi FC have met 2 times: ASD Alcione won 1, 0 ended level and Carpi FC won 1.
Their latest meeting (): ASD Alcione 6-1 Carpi FC.
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Carpi FC won 1-2.
Story
ASD Alcione vs Carpi FC: the story of the match
23' — ASD Alcione took the lead: 1-0. 40' — Carpi FC equalised: 1-1. Half time: 1-1.
76' — Carpi FC completed the turnaround: 1-2. Carpi FC won 1-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
ASD AlcioneDrawCarpi FC
Pre-match model estimate: ASD Alcione 49%, draw 24%, Carpi FC 27%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): ASD Alcione win in 49% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and Carpi FC win 27%. Average goals 2.9; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 57%. About 9.3 corners on average. About 3.9 yellow cards on average; a red card in 17%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
ASD Alcione took the lead on 23 minutes. Carpi FC drew level at 1-1 on 40 minutes. Half-time: 1-1 between ASD Alcione and Carpi FC.
Carpi FC completed the turnaround at 2-1 on 76 minutes.
The statistics
Corners finished 8-3.
The bigger picture
ASD Alcione slip to 8th (15 points), having started the day 7th. Carpi FC climb from 16th to 13th on 12 points. ASD Alcione's 4-match unbeaten run is over. Carpi FC beat ASD Alcione for the first time since 2021.
What’s next
ASD Alcione's next match is away to AS Giana Erminio on 31 October. Carpi FC host Ravenna FC next, on 28 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Serie C, Group B
