AS Roma started on the front foot and controlled the first 15 minutes. 27' — AS Roma took the lead: 1-0. Mario Hermoso scored it. 31' — AS Roma extended the lead: 2-0. Rodrigo Mora scored it. Half time: 2-0, with AS Roma applying more of the pressure.
58' — AS Roma extended the lead: 3-0. An own goal by Sebastian Walukiewicz. AS Roma won 3-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
AS RomaDrawSassuolo
Pre-match model estimate: AS Roma 69%, draw 17%, Sassuolo 14%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
AS RomaSassuolo
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min750
Last 15 min8319
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): AS Roma win in 69% of the simulated matches, 17% end level and Sassuolo win 14%. Average goals 3.5; the most likely score is 2-1 (10%); both teams score in 58%. About 9.6 corners on average. About 3.3 yellow cards on average; a red card in 16%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
The early pressure came from AS Roma, who controlled the opening 15 minutes. AS Roma took the lead in the 27th minute: Mario Hermoso. Just 4 minutes later (31') AS Roma extended their lead to 2-0, an own goal from Sebastian Walukiewicz on target. It was AS Roma 2-0 Sassuolo at half-time; AS Roma had the better of the pressure.
On target it was 9-1, from 19 and 5 attempts respectively. Corners finished 12-1. AS Roma produced 85 dangerous attacks to Sassuolo's 16.
What the result means
The result takes AS Roma to 27 points. Sassuolo move on to 8 points. AS Roma have now scored in 8 consecutive matches. It is now 5 straight defeats for Sassuolo.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Serie A
