DC United vs New York City FC: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
87' — New York City FC took the lead: 0-1. Talles Magno scored it. It came in the closing minutes. New York City FC won 0-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
DC UnitedDrawNew York City FC
Pre-match model estimate: DC United 24%, draw 23%, New York City FC 53%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): DC United win in 24% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and New York City FC win 53%. Average goals 2.9; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 55%. About 9.8 corners on average. About 3.2 yellow cards on average; a red card in 13%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
New York City FC took the lead in the 87th minute: Talles Magno, set up by Bénie Traoré.
The statistics
The shot count read 6-2, 5-1 on target. Corners finished 5-3. New York City FC's goalkeeper made 5 saves.
The bigger picture
DC United remain 14th, now with 33 points. New York City FC stay 11th on 42 points. DC United have lost 6 in a row. New York City FC are now unbeaten in 5 matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
