20' — AS Roma took the lead: 1-0. M. de Roon scored it. 25' — Real Madrid equalised: 1-1. Kylian Mbappé scored it. Half time: 1-1.
51' — AS Roma went back in front: 2-1. D. Malen scored it. 57' — AS Roma extended the lead: 3-1. D. Malen scored it. 83' — Real Madrid pulled one back: 3-2. Endrick scored it. 85' — Real Madrid equalised: 3-3. Carlos Espí scored it. It came in the closing minutes. 90' — Real Madrid completed the turnaround: 3-4. A. Rüdiger scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Real Madrid won 3-4. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
AS RomaDrawReal Madrid
Pre-match model estimate: AS Roma 38%, draw 22%, Real Madrid 40%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
AS Roma took the lead on 20 minutes thanks to M. de Roon, set up by M. Soulé. Just 5 minutes later (25') Real Madrid drew level at 1-1, Kylian Mbappé on target, set up by Y. Diomande. Half-time: 1-1 between AS Roma and Real Madrid.
D. Malen put AS Roma 2-1 ahead after 51 minutes, set up by Rodrigo Mora. AS Roma extended their lead to 3-1 in the 57th minute: D. Malen, set up by M. Soulé. Real Madrid pulled one back to make it 3-2 in the 83rd minute: Endrick. Late on, in the 85th minute, Real Madrid drew level at 3-3 through Carlos Espí, set up by A. Güler. Real Madrid completed the turnaround at 4-3 in the 90th minute: A. Rüdiger, set up by A. Güler.
Match statistics
AS Roma had 14 shots (7 on target) to Real Madrid's 15 (8). AS Roma won 5 corners, Real Madrid 9.
What it means
Real Madrid ended AS Roma's unbeaten run of 7 matches. Real Madrid have now scored in 6 consecutive matches. It is Real Madrid's first win against AS Roma since 2018.
Coming up
Next up for AS Roma: away at Udinese on Saturday 31 October. Real Madrid's next match is away to Racing Santander on 1 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
UEFA Champions League
