83' — Atalanta U23 took the lead: 0-1. S. Diao scored it. 90' — Atalanta U23 extended the lead: 0-2. A. Bonanomi scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Atalanta U23 won 0-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
AS GubbioDrawAtalanta U23
Pre-match model estimate: AS Gubbio 35%, draw 28%, Atalanta U23 37%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Atalanta U23 took the lead on 83 minutes thanks to S. Diao, set up by E. Zanaboni. Late on, in the 90th minute, Atalanta U23 extended their lead to 2-0 through A. Bonanomi, set up by A. Manzoni.
Match statistics
The shot count read 5-13, 3-4 on target. AS Gubbio won 7 corners, Atalanta U23 5.
What it means
It is now 5 straight defeats for AS Gubbio. Atalanta U23 end a run of 3 straight defeats.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Serie C, Group B
