45' — Qatar SC took the lead: 0-1. Half time: 0-1.
50' — Qatar SC extended the lead: 0-2. Pau Prim scored it. 65' — Al Shamal SC pulled one back: 1-2. R. Mahrez scored from the penalty spot. 74' — Al Shamal SC equalised: 2-2. Tiago Silva scored it. 80' — Qatar SC went back in front: 2-3. Y. Boli scored it. Qatar SC won 2-3.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Al Shamal SCDrawQatar SC
Pre-match model estimate: Al Shamal SC 58%, draw 20%, Qatar SC 22%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Al Shamal SC win in 58% of the simulated matches, 20% end level and Qatar SC win 22%. Average goals 3.5; the most likely score is 2-1 (9%); both teams score in 65%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Al Shamal SC – Qatar SC match report
Updated:
Qatar SC got the better of Al Shamal SC, winning 3-2 at Al-Shamal SC Stadium. It was 0-1 at half-time.
The story of the match
After a review on 36 minutes, Al Shamal SC were given a penalty. Qatar SC took the lead on 45 minutes. Half-time: 0-1, Qatar SC in front.
Qatar SC extended their lead to 2-0 on 50 minutes thanks to Pau Prim, set up by João Pedro. A Qatar SC goal stood after a VAR check in the 51st minute. Al Shamal SC pulled one back to make it 1-2 on 65 minutes thanks to R. Mahrez from the penalty spot. Al Shamal SC drew level at 2-2 on 74 minutes thanks to Tiago Silva, set up by Fahad Waad. Qatar SC went 3-2 up on 80 minutes thanks to Y. Boli.
Match statistics
The shot count read 5-3, 3-3 on target. Corners finished 8-1. Dangerous attacks: 29 for Al Shamal SC, 9 for Qatar SC.
The bigger picture
Al Shamal SC slip to 6th (9 points), having started the day 5th. Qatar SC remain 11th, now with 6 points. The wait for a win goes on for Al Shamal SC: 4 matches now. A 3-game wait for victory is over for Qatar SC.
What’s next
Al Shamal SC's next match is away to Al Sadd SC Doha on 30 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Qatar Stars League
