20' — Al Rayyan took the lead: 0-1. Gabriel Pereira scored it. 22' — Al Rayyan extended the lead: 0-2. Ahmed Alaa Eldin scored it. 43' — Al Rayyan extended the lead: 0-3. Ahmed Alaa Eldin scored it. Half time: 0-3.
51' — Al Rayyan extended the lead: 0-4. An own goal by K. van der Kaap. 58' — Al Sailiya pulled one back: 1-4. A. El Ghazi scored it. 67' — Al Rayyan extended the lead: 1-5. Youssef Ayman scored it. 70' — Al Rayyan extended the lead: 1-6. Al Rayyan won 1-6.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Al SailiyaDrawAl Rayyan
Pre-match model estimate: Al Sailiya 11%, draw 15%, Al Rayyan 74%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Al Sailiya win in 11% of the simulated matches, 15% end level and Al Rayyan win 74%. Average goals 3.5; the most likely score is 0-2 (10%); both teams score in 54%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
The officials disallowed a Al Rayyan goal on 17 minutes. Al Rayyan took the lead in the 20th minute: Gabriel Pereira. Just 2 minutes later (22') Al Rayyan extended their lead to 2-0, Ahmed Alaa Eldin on target. Al Rayyan extended their lead to 3-0 on 43 minutes thanks to Ahmed Alaa Eldin, set up by Róger Guedes. It was Al Sailiya 0-3 Al Rayyan at half-time.
Al Rayyan extended their lead to 4-0 on 51 minutes thanks to an own goal from K. van der Kaap. Al Sailiya pulled one back to make it 1-4 on 58 minutes thanks to A. El Ghazi, set up by Joselu. Al Rayyan extended their lead to 5-1 in the 67th minute: Youssef Ayman, set up by Róger Guedes. Just 3 minutes later (70') Al Rayyan extended their lead to 6-1. After a review on 85 minutes, Al Rayyan were given a penalty.
Match statistics
Corners finished 1-10. Dangerous attacks: 86 for Al Rayyan, 37 for Al Sailiya.
What the result means
Al Sailiya remain 12th, now with 1 point. Al Rayyan stay 1st on 17 points. The wait for a win goes on for Al Sailiya: 10 matches now.
Coming up
Al Sailiya host Lusail SC next, on 31 October in the Qatar Stars League. Next up for Al Rayyan: away at AL Nahda Al Buraimi on Wednesday 28 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Qatar Stars League
