Accrington Stanley vs Crawley Town: the story of the match
4' — Accrington Stanley took the lead: 1-0. Charlie Caton scored it. 20' — Crawley Town equalised: 1-1. Danilo Orsi-Dadomo scored it. Half time: 1-1.
55' — Accrington Stanley went back in front: 2-1. Charlie Caton scored it. 63' — Accrington Stanley extended the lead: 3-1. Devon Matthews scored it. 79' — Crawley Town pulled one back: 3-2. Pemi Aderoju scored it. Accrington Stanley won 3-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Accrington StanleyDrawCrawley Town
Pre-match model estimate: Accrington Stanley 52%, draw 26%, Crawley Town 22%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Accrington Stanley took the lead in the 4th minute: Charlie Caton. Crawley Town drew level at 1-1 in the 20th minute: Danilo Orsi-Dadomo. The first half ended 1-1.
Charlie Caton put Accrington Stanley 2-1 ahead after 55 minutes. Devon Matthews made it 3-1 for Accrington Stanley after 63 minutes, set up by Josh Woods. Pemi Aderoju reduced the deficit for Crawley Town to 3-2 after 79 minutes, set up by Kellan Gordon.
League Two
