Academica Coimbra vs Leixoes SC: the story of the match
4' — A. Balde of Leixoes SC was sent off. 14' — Academica Coimbra took the lead: 1-0. Leandro Silva scored from the penalty spot. 36' — Academica Coimbra extended the lead: 2-0. J. Sinisterra scored it. Half time: 2-0.
50' — Academica Coimbra extended the lead: 3-0. A. Coundoul scored it. 82' — Academica Coimbra extended the lead: 4-0. J. Sinisterra scored it. Academica Coimbra won 4-0.
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Academica Coimbra win in 34% of the simulated matches, 26% end level and Leixoes SC win 40%. Average goals 2.6; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 53%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
A. Balde saw a straight red card in the 4th minute, leaving Leixoes SC short-handed. Academica Coimbra took the lead on 14 minutes thanks to Leandro Silva from the penalty spot. VAR disallowed a Academica Coimbra goal on 22 minutes. Academica Coimbra had a goal ruled out in the 33rd minute. Academica Coimbra extended their lead to 2-0 on 36 minutes thanks to J. Sinisterra, set up by K. Zohi.
Academica Coimbra led 2-0 at the break.
Academica Coimbra extended their lead to 3-0 in the 50th minute: A. Coundoul. Academica Coimbra extended their lead to 4-0 in the 82nd minute: J. Sinisterra. A Academica Coimbra goal stood after a VAR check in the 83rd minute.
Match statistics
The shot count read 3-5, 1-2 on target. Dangerous attacks: 77 for Academica Coimbra, 61 for Leixoes SC.
What the result means
Academica Coimbra climb from 7th to 4th on 15 points. Leixoes SC slip to 11th (10 points), having started the day 10th. That is 5 straight wins for Academica Coimbra. Academica Coimbra beat Leixoes SC for the first time since 2022.
Liga Portugal 2
