Leixoes SC vs Sporting CP B: the story of the match
8' — Sporting CP B took the lead: 0-1. Mauro Couto scored from the penalty spot. Half time: 0-1.
48' — Sporting CP B extended the lead: 0-2. Rafael Ferreira Nel scored it. 77' — Leixoes SC pulled one back: 1-2. B. Rochez scored it. Sporting CP B won 1-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Leixoes SCDrawSporting CP B
Pre-match model estimate: Leixoes SC 48%, draw 25%, Sporting CP B 27%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Leixoes SC win in 48% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and Sporting CP B win 27%. Average goals 2.6; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 51%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Sporting CP B got the better of Leixoes SC, winning 2-1 at Estadio do Mar. It was 0-1 at half-time.
The story of the match
Sporting CP B took the lead in the 8th minute: Mauro Couto from the penalty spot. Sporting CP B led 1-0 at the break.
Sporting CP B extended their lead to 2-0 on 48 minutes thanks to Rafael Ferreira Nel. Leixoes SC pulled one back to make it 1-2 in the 77th minute: B. Rochez, set up by Serif Nhaga.
The statistics
Corners finished 6-6.
What the result means
Leixoes SC have lost 4 in a row. That is 4 straight wins for Sporting CP B.
Liga Portugal 2
