Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
About this match
AC Oulu and VPS meet on in Veikkausliiga, Relegation Round.
Venue: Raatin stadion.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
Scoreno
Statisticsno
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards AC Oulu (43%).
Chances to win
Model estimate
43%25%32%
AC Oulu43%Draw25%VPS32%
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
AC Oulu vs VPS: preview
AC Oulu have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches. AC Oulu have scored in 4 matches in a row. 5 of AC Oulu's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 5. VPS have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches. 2 of VPS's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 1.
AC Oulu are in position 5 with 34 points, VPS in position 6 with 33 points. A win could lift AC Oulu as high as position 3. A win could lift VPS as high as position 4.
Our pre-match model estimate: AC Oulu 43%, draw 25%, VPS 32%.
Table by result
AC Oulu5Next round
A win can lift them as high as 3.
A defeat drops them to 6.
Win3–4Draw5Loss6
VPS6Next round
A win can lift them as high as 4.
Win4–5Draw6Loss6
Worked out from the pre-match table and the live scores in the league.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
Preparing the simulation…
Model simulation (20,000 runs): AC Oulu win in 43% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and VPS win 32%. Average goals 2.7; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 55%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
In the table, AC Oulu sit 5th with 34 points and VPS are 6th with 33 points. AC Oulu are 1 point ahead of VPS.
Form guide
Over the last 5 matches, AC Oulu have collected 3 wins and 2 defeats. AC Oulu have found the net in 4 straight games. Across 10 matches, AC Oulu have scored 1.4 and let in 1.5 goals per match on average.
Over the last 5 matches, VPS have collected 1 win and 4 defeats. Inter Turku beat VPS 1-0 last time out. VPS average 0.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game over their last 10.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Veikkausliiga, Relegation Round
