20' — HJK Helsinki took the lead: 0-1. M. Borchers scored it. 41' — HJK Helsinki extended the lead: 0-2. L. Möller scored it. Half time: 0-2.
48' — AC Oulu pulled one back: 1-2. C. Triana scored it. 64' — HJK Helsinki extended the lead: 1-3. M. Borchers scored it. 77' — AC Oulu pulled one back: 2-3. R. Riski scored it. 85' — AC Oulu equalised: 3-3. J. Pirinen scored it. It came in the closing minutes. 86' — HJK Helsinki went back in front: 3-4. J. Veteli scored it. It came in the closing minutes. HJK Helsinki won 3-4. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
AC OuluDrawHJK Helsinki
Pre-match model estimate: AC Oulu 33%, draw 25%, HJK Helsinki 42%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
HJK Helsinki took the lead on 20 minutes thanks to M. Borchers, set up by L. Montano. HJK Helsinki extended their lead to 2-0 on 41 minutes thanks to L. Möller, set up by M. Borchers. HJK Helsinki led 2-0 at the break.
AC Oulu pulled one back to make it 1-2 on 48 minutes thanks to C. Triana, set up by E. Kallio. HJK Helsinki extended their lead to 3-1 on 64 minutes thanks to M. Borchers, set up by L. Montano. AC Oulu pulled one back to make it 2-3 on 77 minutes thanks to R. Riski, set up by R. Karjalainen. AC Oulu drew level at 3-3 in the 85th minute: J. Pirinen. HJK Helsinki went 4-3 up in the 86th minute: J. Veteli.
The statistics
AC Oulu won 6 corners, HJK Helsinki 6.
What the result means
HJK Helsinki extend their unbeaten run to 5 matches.
Next fixtures
Next up for AC Oulu: home to VPS on Wednesday 28 October. HJK Helsinki's next match is away to Inter Turku on 29 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Veikkausliiga, Relegation Round
