16' — Hobro IK took the lead: 0-1. A. Noshe scored it. 21' — Aalborg BK equalised: 1-1. A. Hapnes scored it. Half time: 1-1.
The match ended 1-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Aalborg BKDrawHobro IK
Pre-match model estimate: Aalborg BK 57%, draw 23%, Hobro IK 20%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Aalborg BK win in 57% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and Hobro IK win 20%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 1-0 (11%); both teams score in 53%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
It finished 1-1 between Aalborg BK and Hobro IK at Aalborg Portland Park.
Key moments
Hobro IK took the lead in the 16th minute: A. Noshe. A. Hapnes equalised for Aalborg BK at 1-1 after 21 minutes. Half-time: 1-1 between Aalborg BK and Hobro IK.
Match statistics
Corners finished 1-9.
What it means
The wait for a win goes on for Aalborg BK: 6 matches now. Hobro IK have now gone 8 matches without a win. Across 11 meetings in our records: 2 wins for Aalborg BK, 5 wins for Hobro IK and 4 draws.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
1st Division
