KuwaitFootballSeason 26/27Premier League season simulation
Model estimate Al Kuwait SC — 85% title chance
Updated
Chances
| Team | Pts | xPts | Title |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Kuwait SC | 16 | 53.5 | 85% |
| Al Qadsia SC | 9 | 47.1 | 15% |
| Kazma SC | 14 | 36.2 | <1% |
| Al Nasr Kuwait | 12 | 35 | <1% |
| Al Fahaheel | 9 | 32.4 | <1% |
| Al Salmiyah | 9 | 32.2 | <1% |
| Al Arabi SC Kuwait | 3 | 31.1 | <1% |
| Al Shabab Ahmadi | 7 | 22.9 | 0% |
| Al Jahra | 4 | 21.2 | 0% |
| Al Sahel SC Abu Halifa | 4 | 18.9 | 0% |
| Sulaibikhat SC | 3 | 17.9 | 0% |
| Al Tadamon SC | 0 | 16.3 | 0% |
TitlexPts = Expected final points
Percentages: the share of the simulated seasons that end in that range of places — the stronger the colour, the likelier.
Final position probabilities
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Kuwait SC | 85 | 15 | ||||||||||
| Al Qadsia SC | 15 | 74 | 8 | 2 | ||||||||
| Kazma SC | 5 | 32 | 24 | 18 | 12 | 7 | 2 | |||||
| Al Nasr Kuwait | 3 | 23 | 24 | 20 | 16 | 10 | 3 | |||||
| Al Fahaheel | 2 | 14 | 18 | 20 | 21 | 17 | 6 | 2 | ||||
| Al Salmiyah | 1 | 12 | 17 | 20 | 21 | 19 | 7 | 3 | ||||
| Al Arabi SC Kuwait | 1 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 20 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 2 | |||
| Al Shabab Ahmadi | 2 | 4 | 11 | 27 | 23 | 17 | 10 | 5 | ||||
| Al Jahra | 1 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 24 | 20 | 15 | 8 | ||||
| Al Sahel SC Abu Halifa | 1 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 23 | 25 | 19 | |||||
| Sulaibikhat SC | 2 | 8 | 15 | 22 | 26 | 26 | ||||||
| Al Tadamon SC | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 23 | 42 |
Model estimate from 10,000 simulated seasons: every remaining match is played with goal rates from both teams’ attack and defence (our global team rating, every league and cup on one scale, blended with a Dixon-Coles model of the league’s own results; recent matches weigh more), then the table is ranked with the tie-break rules. A probability, not a prediction of any single result. 100 remaining matches · data version tgjf5p. 93 pairings without a date yet were added from the double round robin.