JordanFootballSeason 26/27Pro League season simulation
Model estimate Al Faisaly Amman — 49% title chance
Updated
Chances
| Team | Pts | xPts | Title |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Faisaly Amman | 15 | 32.9 | 49% |
| Al Wehdat SC Amman | 14 | 31.1 | 24% |
| Al Hussein Irbid | 12 | 30.3 | 20% |
| Al Ramtha | 15 | 26.5 | 4% |
| Al Jazeera Amman | 10 | 24.9 | 3% |
| Al Baqaa | 11 | 21.5 | <1% |
| Al Salt | 8 | 20.7 | <1% |
| Shabab Al Ordon | 7 | 18.8 | <1% |
| Al Arabi Irbid | 8 | 18.9 | <1% |
| Doqarah FC | 5 | 14.6 | 0% |
TitlexPts = Expected final points
Percentages: the share of the simulated seasons that end in that range of places — the stronger the colour, the likelier.
Final position probabilities
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Faisaly Amman | 49 | 26 | 15 | 6 | 3 | |||||
| Al Wehdat SC Amman | 24 | 29 | 24 | 13 | 6 | 2 | ||||
| Al Hussein Irbid | 20 | 27 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |||
| Al Ramtha | 4 | 9 | 17 | 24 | 22 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 1 | |
| Al Jazeera Amman | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | 23 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 2 | |
| Al Baqaa | 1 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 20 | 21 | 17 | 12 | 4 | |
| Al Salt | 2 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 20 | 19 | 14 | 6 | ||
| Shabab Al Ordon | 3 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 22 | 24 | 14 | |||
| Al Arabi Irbid | 3 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 23 | 24 | 15 | |||
| Doqarah FC | 2 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 60 |
Model estimate from 10,000 simulated seasons: every remaining match is played with goal rates from both teams’ attack and defence (our global team rating, every league and cup on one scale, blended with a Dixon-Coles model of the league’s own results; recent matches weigh more), then the table is ranked with the tie-break rules. A probability, not a prediction of any single result. 50 remaining matches · data version qgizws. 50 pairings without a date yet were added from the double round robin.