Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Melita FC beat Zebbug Rangers FC 2-1 in Challenge League.
In our records Zebbug Rangers FC and Melita FC have met 10 times: Zebbug Rangers FC won 6, 2 ended level and Melita FC won 2.
Their latest meeting (): Zebbug Rangers FC 1-4 Melita FC.
Match decisions & VAR
31'Penalty awardedMelita FCDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Melita FC won 1-2.
Story
Zebbug Rangers FC vs Melita FC: the story of the match
32' — Melita FC took the lead: 0-1. Half time: 0-1.
78' — Melita FC extended the lead: 0-2. 90' — Zebbug Rangers FC pulled one back: 1-2. It came in the closing minutes. Melita FC won 1-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Zebbug Rangers FCDrawMelita FC
Pre-match model estimate: Zebbug Rangers FC 15%, draw 20%, Melita FC 65%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Zebbug Rangers FC win in 15% of the simulated matches, 20% end level and Melita FC win 65%. Average goals 2.9; the most likely score is 0-2 (12%); both teams score in 50%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Melita FC took the lead on 32 minutes. Melita FC led 1-0 at the break.
Melita FC extended their lead to 2-0 on 78 minutes. Late on, in the 90th minute, Zebbug Rangers FC pulled one back to make it 1-2.
What the numbers say
Zebbug Rangers FC had 2 shots (2 on target) to Melita FC's 7 (6). Corners finished 3-4. Dangerous attacks: 212 for Melita FC, 176 for Zebbug Rangers FC.
What it means
Zebbug Rangers FC remain 15th, now with 3 points. Melita FC climb from 9th to 7th on 7 points. Zebbug Rangers FC have now scored in 4 consecutive matches. A 3-game wait for victory is over for Melita FC.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
