AfricaCAF Champions League QualificationPressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
Zamalek SC beat APR FC Kigali 1-0 in CAF Champions League Qualification.
Venue: Cairo International Stadium.
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Result verified.
Full time: Zamalek SC won 1-0.
1' — Zamalek SC took the lead: 1-0. Half time: 1-0.
Zamalek SC won 1-0.
Model estimate
Pre-match model estimate: Zamalek SC 75%, draw 17%, APR FC Kigali 8%.
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
What the pre-match simulation said
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Zamalek SC win in 75% of the simulated matches, 17% end level and APR FC Kigali win 8%. Average goals 2.7; the most likely score is 2-0 (16%); both teams score in 37%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Updated:
Zamalek SC beat APR FC Kigali 1-0 without conceding at Cairo International Stadium.
Zamalek SC took the lead on 1 minutes. Zamalek SC led 1-0 at the break.
Zamalek SC won 4 corners, APR FC Kigali 3.
Zamalek SC host Al Mokawloon Al Arab next, on 28 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
