Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Zakho SC beat Erbil SC 2-1 in Iraq Premier League.
Match decisions & VAR
27'Review overVAR review · penaltyDecision
69'Goal disallowedZakho SCDecision · Score 0-1
95'Penalty awardedZakho SCDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Zakho SC won 2-1.
Story
Zakho SC vs Erbil SC: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
69' — Erbil SC took the lead: 0-1. 80' — Zakho SC equalised: 1-1. 90' — Zakho SC completed the turnaround: 2-1. It came in the closing minutes. Zakho SC won 2-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Zakho SC win in 27% of the simulated matches, 27% end level and Erbil SC win 46%. Average goals 2.4; the most likely score is 0-1 (13%); both teams score in 47%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Zakho SC – Erbil SC match report
Updated:
Zakho SC recovered from going behind and won 2-1 against Erbil SC.
How the match unfolded
Half-time: 0-0 between Zakho SC and Erbil SC.
Zakho SC had a goal ruled out in the 69th minute. Erbil SC took the lead on 69 minutes. Zakho SC drew level at 1-1 on 80 minutes. Late on, in the 90th minute, Zakho SC completed the turnaround at 2-1.
Match statistics
The shot count read 14-6, 7-3 on target. Zakho SC won 7 corners, Erbil SC 2. Zakho SC produced 74 dangerous attacks to Erbil SC's 30.
The bigger picture
Zakho SC end a run of 6 matches without a win. Erbil SC have now gone 4 matches without a win.
Next fixtures
Next up for Erbil SC: home to Al Ettifaq Dammam on Wednesday 28 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
