Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Sliema Wanderers beat Zabbar St. Patrick FC 3-2 in VBET Malta Premier.
Venue: Centenary Stadium.
Referee: D. Casha.
Match decisions & VAR
27'Goal disallowedVARZabbar St. Patrick FCVAR review · 27' → 29'Decision · Score 0-0
80'Penalty awardedVARZabbar St. Patrick FCDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Sliema Wanderers won 2-3.
Story
Zabbar St. Patrick FC vs Sliema Wanderers: the story of the match
42' — Sliema Wanderers took the lead: 0-1. Half time: 0-1.
53' — Zabbar St. Patrick FC equalised: 1-1. 57' — Sliema Wanderers went back in front: 1-2. 81' — Zabbar St. Patrick FC equalised: 2-2. 84' — Sliema Wanderers went back in front: 2-3. Sliema Wanderers won 2-3.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Zabbar St. Patrick FCDrawSliema Wanderers
Pre-match model estimate: Zabbar St. Patrick FC 33%, draw 27%, Sliema Wanderers 40%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Zabbar St. Patrick FC win in 33% of the simulated matches, 27% end level and Sliema Wanderers win 40%. Average goals 2.5; the most likely score is 1-1 (13%); both teams score in 51%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Zabbar St. Patrick FC – Sliema Wanderers match report
VAR disallowed a Zabbar St. Patrick FC goal on 27 minutes. Sliema Wanderers took the lead on 42 minutes. It was Zabbar St. Patrick FC 0-1 Sliema Wanderers at half-time.
Zabbar St. Patrick FC drew level at 1-1 on 53 minutes. Just 4 minutes later (57') Sliema Wanderers went 2-1 up. After a review on 80 minutes, Zabbar St. Patrick FC were given a penalty. Zabbar St. Patrick FC drew level at 2-2 on 81 minutes. Sliema Wanderers went 3-2 up on 84 minutes.
What the numbers say
Corners finished 1-6.
What the result means
A 3-game wait for victory is over for Sliema Wanderers.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
